Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Luis to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees San Luis take on San Marcos de Arica on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). San Luis are 2nd with 54 points from 29 games (in the top four), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Luis's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Recoleta 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Deportes Temuco 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
San Luis arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for San Luis and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Luis 39%, draw 24%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: San Marcos de Arica to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: San Luis 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Luis39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.73 · @2.95
2.55Expected goals
1.30San Luis xG
1.25San Marcos de Arica xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.3 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✓
39%
2.54
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Form
San Luis – last 6
DWWWWD
30 May
@ Recoleta
0–0
D
25 May
vs Magallanes
2–1
W
17 May
vs D. Puerto Montt
4–1
W
4 May
vs Union San Felipe
4–0
W
30 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
23 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 6
LWDDWW
31 May
vs Deportes Temuco
0–1
L
24 May
@ D. Puerto Montt
2–0
W
17 May
vs Antofagasta
1–1
D
12 May
@ Curico Unido
2–2
D
5 May
vs Recoleta
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Luis and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers San Luis have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica?
San Luis vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
