Value bet: Union Espanola to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Espanola to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43
Union Espanola vs Curico Unido preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Union Espanola take on Curico Unido on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Union Espanola are 9th with 39 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Curico Unido sit 13th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Union Espanola's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Rangers de Talca 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Curico Unido's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat D. Puerto Montt 2–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Union Espanola and 1.0 for Curico Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Espanola 56%, draw 20%, Curico Unido 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Union Espanola to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union Espanola 1–1 Curico Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Espanola56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
Curico Unido24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
2.65Expected goals
1.68Union Espanola xG
0.97Curico Unido xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.7 – 1.0 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Espanola / FT Union Espanola✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.43
–
Form
Union Espanola – last 6
DDWLLL
18 Apr
@ Rangers de Talca
1–1
D
11 Apr
vs Cobreloa
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Antofagasta
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Curico Unido – last 5
WDLDL
26 Apr
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–4
L
3 Mar
@ San Luis
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and Curico Unido.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs Curico Unido?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Curico Unido?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Curico Unido 24%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs Curico Unido?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs Curico Unido?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs Curico Unido?
Union Espanola vs Curico Unido (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
