Value bet: Antofagasta to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntofagasta to win45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.08
Recoleta vs Antofagasta preview and prediction
The match
Antofagasta travel to face Recoleta in the Primera B on Sunday 26 April (17:30 WAT). Recoleta are 7th with 42 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Antofagasta sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Recoleta's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Deportes Temuco 1–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antofagasta's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Deportes Iquique 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Recoleta and 1.7 for Antofagasta. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Antofagasta to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Recoleta 1–1 Antofagasta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recoleta33%fair 2.99 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Antofagasta45%fair 2.23 · @2.40
3.12Expected goals
1.43Recoleta xG
1.69Antofagasta xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.4 – 1.7 Antofagasta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antofagasta to win
45%
2.23
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antofagasta / FT Antofagasta
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.08
–
Form
Recoleta – last 4
LWWW
27 Mar
vs Deportes Temuco
1–5
L
13 Mar
vs Union San Felipe
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Antofagasta – last 6
WDWLLW
29 Mar
vs Deportes Iquique
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Rangers de Talca
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Antofagasta.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Antofagasta 45%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Antofagasta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Antofagasta?
Recoleta vs Antofagasta (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
