Value bet: Santiago Wanderers to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Iquique to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Iquique host Santiago Wanderers in the Primera B on Tuesday 28 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Tierra de Campeones. Deportes Iquique are 10th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Santiago Wanderers sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Iquique's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with D. Puerto Montt 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santiago Wanderers's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Antofagasta 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Deportes Iquique and 1.3 for Santiago Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Iquique 39%, draw 23%, Santiago Wanderers 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Santiago Wanderers to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Iquique 1–1 Santiago Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Iquique39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Santiago Wanderers38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.37Deportes Iquique xG
1.34Santiago Wanderers xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Iquique 1.4 – 1.3 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Iquique to win✓
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Iquique / FT Deportes Iquique✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.02
–
Form
Deportes Iquique – last 6
DLLDDW
12 Apr
vs D. Puerto Montt
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Antofagasta
0–4
L
14 Mar
vs Cobreloa
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Union San Felipe
5–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santiago Wanderers – last 4
DDWL
22 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ San Marcos de Arica
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Recoleta
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Iquique and Santiago Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers?
On our numbers Deportes Iquique have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santiago Wanderers 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Deportes Iquique 1–1 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers?
Deportes Iquique vs Santiago Wanderers (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tierra de Campeones.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
