Value bet: Deportes Santa Cruz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Santa Cruz to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Santa Cruz host Union San Felipe in the Primera B on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th with 24 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to San Luis 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union San Felipe's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with San Marcos de Arica 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 0.9 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Santa Cruz 58%, draw 21%, Union San Felipe 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Deportes Santa Cruz to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–0 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Santa Cruz58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.20
Union San Felipe21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
2.64Expected goals
1.72Deportes Santa Cruz xG
0.92Union San Felipe xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.7 – 0.9 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Santa Cruz to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Santa Cruz / FT Deportes Santa Cruz✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.12
–
Form
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6
LWLLDD
30 Mar
@ San Luis
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Curico Unido
4–2
W
16 Mar
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 4
DLWL
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Santa Cruz and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union San Felipe 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–0 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
