Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: San Marcos de Arica to win @ 3.35 – our chance 44% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +47%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✓44% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees Rangers de Talca take on San Marcos de Arica on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Fiscal de Talca. Rangers de Talca are 16th with 21 points from 29 games (in the bottom three), while San Marcos de Arica sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rangers de Talca's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Magallanes 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Marcos de Arica's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Union San Felipe 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Marcos de Arica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Rangers de Talca and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rangers de Talca 34%, draw 22%, San Marcos de Arica 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Value angle: San Marcos de Arica to win at 3.35 – 44% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rangers de Talca 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rangers de Talca34%fair 2.95 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
San Marcos de Arica44%fair 2.28 · @3.35
2.27Expected goals
1.04Rangers de Talca xG
1.24San Marcos de Arica xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Rangers de Talca 1.0 – 1.2 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✓
44%
2.28
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Rangers de Talca – last 4
LDLL
30 Mar
@ Magallanes
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs San Luis
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Deportes Copiapo
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Antofagasta
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
San Marcos de Arica – last 5
DDDDD
23 Mar
@ Union San Felipe
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Magallanes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rangers de Talca and San Marcos de Arica.
What is the prediction for Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Rangers de Talca have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Marcos de Arica 44%.
How many goals will there be in Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Rangers de Talca 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica?
Rangers de Talca vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fiscal de Talca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
