Value bet: D. Puerto Montt to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. Puerto Montt to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt preview and prediction
The match
Union Espanola host D. Puerto Montt in the Primera B on Saturday 21 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Union Espanola are 9th with 39 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while D. Puerto Montt sit 11th on 38 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Union Espanola's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
D. Puerto Montt's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Deportes Santa Cruz 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
D. Puerto Montt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Union Espanola and 1.4 for D. Puerto Montt. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Espanola 37%, draw 23%, D. Puerto Montt 40%.
Value angle: D. Puerto Montt to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Union Espanola 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Espanola37%fair 2.72 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
D. Puerto Montt40%fair 2.48 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.28Union Espanola xG
1.35D. Puerto Montt xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.3 – 1.4 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✗
40%
2.48
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Union Espanola – last 3
LLL
15 Mar
@ Antofagasta
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
D. Puerto Montt – last 3
WWW
16 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and D. Puerto Montt.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and D. Puerto Montt 40%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt?
Union Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
