Value bet: Santiago Wanderers to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Marcos de Arica to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.93
San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Wanderers travel to Estadio Carlos Dittborn in the Primera B on Tuesday 17 March (00:30 WAT) to face San Marcos de Arica. San Marcos de Arica are 6th with 43 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Santiago Wanderers sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
San Marcos de Arica's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Deportes Iquique 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica and 1.2 for Santiago Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Marcos de Arica 39%, draw 27%, Santiago Wanderers 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Santiago Wanderers to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Santiago Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Marcos de Arica39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
Santiago Wanderers35%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.25San Marcos de Arica xG
1.16Santiago Wanderers xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: San Marcos de Arica 1.2 – 1.2 Santiago Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
San Marcos de Arica
Santiago Wanderers
Attack vs Primera B average
-12%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Marcos de Arica to win✗
39%
2.57
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Marcos de Arica / FT San Marcos de Arica✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.93
–
Form
San Marcos de Arica – last 3
DDD
8 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Magallanes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santiago Wanderers – last 2
WL
9 Mar
vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Recoleta
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Marcos de Arica and Santiago Wanderers.
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
On our numbers San Marcos de Arica have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santiago Wanderers 35%.
How many goals will there be in San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
Our predicted score is San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Santiago Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers?
San Marcos de Arica vs Santiago Wanderers (Primera B) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Dittborn.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
