Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRecoleta to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Recoleta vs Union San Felipe preview and prediction
The match
Union San Felipe travel to face Recoleta in the Primera B on Friday 13 March (22:00 WAT). Recoleta are 7th with 42 points from 29 games (in the top half), while Union San Felipe sit 15th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Recoleta and 1.1 for Union San Felipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Recoleta 50%, draw 22%, Union San Felipe 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Recoleta 1–1 Union San Felipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recoleta50%fair 1.99 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Union San Felipe28%fair 3.61 · @3.35
2.69Expected goals
1.59Recoleta xG
1.10Union San Felipe xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Recoleta 1.6 – 1.1 Union San Felipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recoleta to win✓
50%
1.99
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recoleta / FT Recoleta✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Form
Recoleta – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs Union Espanola
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union San Felipe – last 2
WL
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recoleta and Union San Felipe.
What is the prediction for Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
On our numbers Recoleta have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union San Felipe 28%.
How many goals will there be in Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Our predicted score is Recoleta 1–1 Union San Felipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Recoleta vs Union San Felipe?
Recoleta vs Union San Felipe (Primera B) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
