D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
D. Puerto Montt to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. Puerto Montt to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceD. Puerto Montt or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B sees D. Puerto Montt take on Deportes Santa Cruz on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue. D. Puerto Montt are 11th with 38 points from 29 games (in the bottom half), while Deportes Santa Cruz sit 14th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Santa Cruz's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Santiago Wanderers 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for D. Puerto Montt and 0.8 for Deportes Santa Cruz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. Puerto Montt 60%, draw 26%, Deportes Santa Cruz 14%.
Safer route: D. Puerto Montt or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was D. Puerto Montt to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: D. Puerto Montt 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. Puerto Montt60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.10
Deportes Santa Cruz14%fair 7.09 · @4.33
2.67Expected goals
1.85D. Puerto Montt xG
0.82Deportes Santa Cruz xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: D. Puerto Montt 1.9 – 0.8 Deportes Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
D. Puerto Montt or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
D. Puerto Montt ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. Puerto Montt / FT D. Puerto Montt✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.80
–
Form
D. Puerto Montt – last 2
WW
1 Mar
@ Antofagasta
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – last 3
LDD
9 Mar
@ Santiago Wanderers
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cobreloa
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. Puerto Montt and Deportes Santa Cruz.
What is the prediction for D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our pick is D. Puerto Montt to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
On our numbers D. Puerto Montt have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Santa Cruz 14%.
How many goals will there be in D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is D. Puerto Montt 1–0 Deportes Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
