Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: UMM Salal to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUMM Salal to win ✓48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal preview and prediction
The match
Al Ahli Doha host UMM Salal in the Emir Cup on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Al Ahli Doha and 1.9 for UMM Salal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli Doha 32%, draw 20%, UMM Salal 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.33.
Value angle: UMM Salal to win at 2.38 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Al Ahli Doha 1–2 UMM Salal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli Doha32%fair 3.14 · @2.50
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
UMM Salal48%fair 2.08 · @2.38
3.41Expected goals
1.51Al Ahli Doha xG
1.90UMM Salal xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 1.5 – 1.9 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UMM Salal to win✓
48%
2.08
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Half-time result
UMM Salal ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UMM Salal / FT UMM Salal✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.10
–
Form
Al Ahli Doha
No recent results on record.
UMM Salal
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and UMM Salal.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UMM Salal 48%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 1–2 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal?
Al Ahli Doha vs UMM Salal (Emir Cup) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Emir Cup · Qatar · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
