Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
2
Value bet: Jonsered to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÅstorp to win ✓42% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.34
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Åstorp vs Jonsered preview and prediction
The match
Åstorp host Jonsered in the Division 2 Västra Götaland on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Åstorp are 12th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Jonsered sit 3rd on 42 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Åstorp's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Qviding FIF 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Jonsered's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Torslanda 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Jonsered 4–2 Åstorp.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Åstorp and 1.6 for Jonsered. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Åstorp 42%, draw 21%, Jonsered 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.34.
Value angle: Jonsered to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Åstorp 1–1 Jonsered. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Åstorp42%fair 2.41 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.72
Jonsered37%fair 2.67 · @2.88
3.32Expected goals
1.71Åstorp xG
1.61Jonsered xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Åstorp 1.7 – 1.6 Jonsered expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Åstorp vs Jonsered?
On our numbers Åstorp have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jonsered 37%.
How many goals will there be in Åstorp vs Jonsered?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Åstorp vs Jonsered?
Our predicted score is Åstorp 1–1 Jonsered, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Åstorp vs Jonsered?
Åstorp vs Jonsered (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
