Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJonsered to win ✗48% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Hestrafor vs Jonsered preview and prediction
The match
Jonsered travel to face Hestrafor in the Division 2 Västra Götaland on Friday 22 May (18:00 WAT). Hestrafor are 4th with 41 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Jonsered sit 3rd on 42 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hestrafor's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Lindome 3–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Jonsered's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Lindome 0–5 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Jonsered arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Hestrafor and 1.9 for Jonsered. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Hestrafor 1–2 Jonsered. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hestrafor32%fair 3.16 · @2.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Jonsered48%fair 2.08 · @2.12
3.39Expected goals
1.50Hestrafor xG
1.89Jonsered xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Hestrafor 1.5 – 1.9 Jonsered expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jonsered to win✗
48%
2.08
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Half-time result
Jonsered ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonsered / FT Jonsered✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.06
–
Form
Hestrafor – last 6
WLLDWL
8 May
@ Lindome
3–2
W
1 May
vs Västra Frölunda
2–4
L
24 Apr
@ Landvetter IS
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Astrio
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Åstorp
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Galtabacks
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jonsered – last 6
LLDWWW
17 May
vs Lindome
0–5
L
8 May
@ Kongahälla
0–1
L
1 May
vs Dalstorps
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Onsala
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Böljan
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Åstorp
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hestrafor and Jonsered.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Hestrafor vs Jonsered?
On our numbers Hestrafor have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jonsered 48%.
How many goals will there be in Hestrafor vs Jonsered?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hestrafor vs Jonsered?
Our predicted score is Hestrafor 1–2 Jonsered, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Hestrafor vs Jonsered?
Hestrafor vs Jonsered (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
