Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Galtabacks to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGaltabacks to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Astrio vs Galtabacks preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Västra Götaland sees Astrio take on Galtabacks on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Astrio are 14th with 10 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Galtabacks sit 13th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Astrio's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Västra Frölunda 3–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Galtabacks's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Torslanda 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Galtabacks arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Astrio and 1.7 for Galtabacks. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Galtabacks to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Astrio 1–2 Galtabacks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Astrio35%fair 2.85 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Galtabacks43%fair 2.35 · @2.50
3.20Expected goals
1.51Astrio xG
1.69Galtabacks xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Astrio 1.5 – 1.7 Galtabacks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galtabacks to win✗
43%
2.35
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galtabacks / FT Galtabacks✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Astrio – last 6
LLLDDL
9 May
@ Västra Frölunda
3–5
L
3 May
vs Qviding FIF
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Torslanda
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Hestrafor
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Kongahälla
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Åstorp
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Galtabacks – last 5
LDLWW
8 May
vs Torslanda
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Åstorp
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Västra Frölunda
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Hestrafor
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Onsala
6–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Astrio and Galtabacks.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Astrio vs Galtabacks?
On our numbers Astrio have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galtabacks 43%.
How many goals will there be in Astrio vs Galtabacks?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Astrio vs Galtabacks?
Our predicted score is Astrio 1–2 Galtabacks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Astrio vs Galtabacks?
Astrio vs Galtabacks (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.