Value bet: Jonsered to win @ 2.54 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJonsered to win ✗45% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Kongahälla vs Jonsered preview and prediction
The match
Jonsered travel to face Kongahälla in the Division 2 Västra Götaland on Friday 8 May (18:00 WAT). Kongahälla are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Jonsered sit 3rd on 42 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kongahälla's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Landvetter IS 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jonsered's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Dalstorps 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Jonsered arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Kongahälla and 1.8 for Jonsered. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Value angle: Jonsered to win at 2.54 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kongahälla 1–1 Jonsered. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kongahälla36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.78
Jonsered45%fair 2.22 · @2.54
3.35Expected goals
1.57Kongahälla xG
1.78Jonsered xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kongahälla 1.6 – 1.8 Jonsered expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jonsered to win✗
45%
2.22
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jonsered / FT Jonsered✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
Kongahälla – last 6
DLDDLL
1 May
vs Landvetter IS
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Qviding FIF
1–3
L
10 Apr
vs Torslanda
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Astrio
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Böljan
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Norrby IF
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jonsered – last 5
DWWWD
1 May
vs Dalstorps
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Onsala
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Böljan
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Åstorp
4–2
W
28 Mar
@ Västra Frölunda
2–2
D
2.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kongahälla and Jonsered.
What is the prediction for Kongahälla vs Jonsered?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kongahälla vs Jonsered?
On our numbers Kongahälla have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jonsered 45%.
How many goals will there be in Kongahälla vs Jonsered?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kongahälla vs Jonsered?
Our predicted score is Kongahälla 1–1 Jonsered, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kongahälla vs Jonsered?
Kongahälla vs Jonsered (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
