Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Åstorp to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÅstorp to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceÅstorp or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Åstorp vs Onsala preview and prediction
The match
Onsala travel to face Åstorp in the Division 2 Västra Götaland on Sunday 10 May (13:00 WAT). Åstorp are 12th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Onsala sit 10th on 33 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Åstorp's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Galtabacks 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Onsala's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Lindome 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Åstorp and 1.1 for Onsala. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Åstorp 60%, draw 24%, Onsala 16%.
Safer route: Åstorp or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Åstorp to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Åstorp or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Åstorp 2–1 Onsala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Åstorp60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.65
Onsala16%fair 6.12 · @3.65
3.23Expected goals
2.15Åstorp xG
1.08Onsala xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Åstorp 2.1 – 1.1 Onsala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Åstorp to win✗
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Åstorp or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Half-time result
Åstorp ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Åstorp / FT Åstorp✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Form
Åstorp – last 6
DDLLLW
30 Apr
@ Galtabacks
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Böljan
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Torslanda
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Hestrafor
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jonsered
2–4
L
28 Mar
vs Astrio
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Onsala – last 5
WLLDL
1 May
@ Lindome
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Jonsered
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ Landvetter IS
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Västra Frölunda
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Galtabacks
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Åstorp and Onsala.
Our pick is Åstorp or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Åstorp vs Onsala?
On our numbers Åstorp have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Onsala 16%.
How many goals will there be in Åstorp vs Onsala?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Åstorp vs Onsala?
Our predicted score is Åstorp 2–1 Onsala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Åstorp vs Onsala?
Åstorp vs Onsala (Division 2 Västra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
