Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSleipner to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Smedby vs Sleipner preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Södra Svealand sees Smedby take on Sleipner on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Smedby are 7th with 36 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Sleipner sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Smedby's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Rågsved 3–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sleipner's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Fittja 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sleipner arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 May 2026, finished Sleipner 1–1 Smedby.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.2 for Smedby and 2.0 for Sleipner. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Smedby 26%, draw 14%, Sleipner 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sleipner to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Smedby 1–2 Sleipner. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Smedby26%fair 3.80 · @3.12
Draw14%fair 6.99 · @3.62
Sleipner59%fair 1.68 · @1.90
3.26Expected goals
1.23Smedby xG
2.03Sleipner xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Smedby 1.2 – 2.0 Sleipner expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Sleipner to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Smedby vs Sleipner?
On our numbers Smedby have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sleipner 59%.
How many goals will there be in Smedby vs Sleipner?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Smedby vs Sleipner?
Our predicted score is Smedby 1–2 Sleipner, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Smedby vs Sleipner?
Smedby vs Sleipner (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
