Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRågsved to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Rågsved vs Smedby preview and prediction
The match
Smedby travel to face Rågsved in the Division 2 Södra Svealand on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). Rågsved are 5th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Smedby sit 7th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rågsved's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Eker Örebro 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Smedby's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Nyköping 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rågsved arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Rågsved and 1.1 for Smedby. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rågsved 61%, draw 17%, Smedby 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rågsved to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rågsved 2–1 Smedby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rågsved61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 6.02 · @3.70
Smedby22%fair 4.50 · @3.25
3.24Expected goals
2.09Rågsved xG
1.15Smedby xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Rågsved 2.1 – 1.1 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rågsved to win✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Rågsved ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rågsved / FT Rågsved✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Rågsved – last 6
WDLWWW
3 Oct
@ Eker Örebro
3–1
W
26 Sep
vs Örebro Syrianska
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Nacka Iliria
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Lindo FF
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Haninge
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Nyköping
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 6
DLLLDW
2 Oct
vs Nyköping
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Haninge
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Fittja
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Farsta
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Nacka Iliria
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Forward
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rågsved and Smedby.
Our pick is Rågsved to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Rågsved vs Smedby?
On our numbers Rågsved have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smedby 22%.
How many goals will there be in Rågsved vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rågsved vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Rågsved 2–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rågsved vs Smedby?
Rågsved vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
