Nacka Iliria host Karlslund in the Division 2 Södra Svealand on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Nacka Iliria are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Karlslund sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nacka Iliria's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Fittja 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Karlslund's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Forward 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Karlslund 2–1 Nacka Iliria.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Nacka Iliria and 0.8 for Karlslund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Nacka Iliria to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nacka Iliria 2–0 Karlslund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacka Iliria68%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.10
Karlslund11%fair 8.71 · @4.75
3.09Expected goals
2.25Nacka Iliria xG
0.84Karlslund xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nacka Iliria 2.3 – 0.8 Karlslund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Our pick is Nacka Iliria to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
On our numbers Nacka Iliria have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karlslund 11%.
How many goals will there be in Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Our predicted score is Nacka Iliria 2–0 Karlslund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund?
Nacka Iliria vs Karlslund (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
