Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Nacka Iliria to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacka Iliria to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Fittja vs Nacka Iliria preview and prediction
The match
Nacka Iliria travel to face Fittja in the Division 2 Södra Svealand on Saturday 26 September (13:00 WAT). Fittja are 8th with 36 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Nacka Iliria sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fittja's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Smedby 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacka Iliria's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Rågsved 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Nacka Iliria 2–1 Fittja.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Fittja and 2.0 for Nacka Iliria. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 65%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Nacka Iliria to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Fittja 1–2 Nacka Iliria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fittja22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @3.90
Nacka Iliria60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
3.11Expected goals
1.11Fittja xG
2.01Nacka Iliria xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Fittja 1.1 – 2.0 Nacka Iliria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fittja vs Nacka Iliria?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fittja vs Nacka Iliria?
On our numbers Fittja have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Nacka Iliria 60%.
How many goals will there be in Fittja vs Nacka Iliria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fittja vs Nacka Iliria?
Our predicted score is Fittja 1–2 Nacka Iliria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fittja vs Nacka Iliria?
Fittja vs Nacka Iliria (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
