Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Farsta to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarsta to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Farsta vs Rågsved preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Södra Svealand sees Farsta take on Rågsved on Friday 31 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Farsta are 1st with 52 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Rågsved sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Farsta's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Eker Örebro 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Rågsved's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Forward 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Farsta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.1 for Farsta and 1.3 for Rågsved. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Farsta 50%, draw 21%, Rågsved 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Farsta to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Farsta 2–1 Rågsved. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farsta50%fair 2.00 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
Rågsved29%fair 3.40 · @2.62
3.43Expected goals
2.10Farsta xG
1.33Rågsved xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Farsta 2.1 – 1.3 Rågsved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farsta to win✗
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Half-time result
Farsta ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farsta / FT Farsta✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
Farsta – last 6
WLWWDW
27 Jun
@ Eker Örebro
4–1
W
21 Jun
@ Karlslund
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Eker Örebro
4–0
W
6 Jun
vs Forward
2–1
W
30 May
@ Smedby
1–1
D
22 May
vs Haninge
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rågsved – last 6
LDLDWL
28 Jun
vs Forward
1–2
L
22 Jun
@ Syrianska FC
2–2
D
17 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
13 Jun
@ Sleipner
4–4
D
6 Jun
vs Lindo FF
4–2
W
30 May
@ Forward
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farsta and Rågsved.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Farsta vs Rågsved?
On our numbers Farsta have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rågsved 29%.
How many goals will there be in Farsta vs Rågsved?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farsta vs Rågsved?
Our predicted score is Farsta 2–1 Rågsved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Farsta vs Rågsved?
Farsta vs Rågsved (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
