Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNyköping to win ✗44% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Nyköping vs Smedby preview and prediction
The match
Smedby travel to face Nyköping in the Division 2 Södra Svealand on Monday 15 June (18:15 WAT). Nyköping are 3rd with 46 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Smedby sit 7th on 36 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nyköping's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Fittja 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Smedby's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Örebro Syrianska 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Nyköping arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Nyköping and 1.5 for Smedby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nyköping 44%, draw 21%, Smedby 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Nyköping 1–1 Smedby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nyköping44%fair 2.27 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.20
Smedby35%fair 2.85 · @2.75
3.15Expected goals
1.68Nyköping xG
1.47Smedby xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Nyköping 1.7 – 1.5 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nyköping to win✗
44%
2.27
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nyköping / FT Nyköping✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Nyköping – last 6
LWWWWW
6 Jun
vs Fittja
0–2
L
29 May
@ Nacka Iliria
2–0
W
23 May
@ Rågsved
2–1
W
14 May
vs Lindo FF
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Karlslund
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Örebro Syrianska
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 6
LDWDLW
7 Jun
@ Örebro Syrianska
1–2
L
30 May
vs Farsta
1–1
D
23 May
vs Syrianska FC
4–0
W
14 May
@ Sleipner
1–1
D
3 May
@ Fittja
3–5
L
25 Apr
vs Karlslund
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nyköping and Smedby.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Nyköping vs Smedby?
On our numbers Nyköping have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Smedby 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nyköping vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nyköping vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Nyköping 1–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nyköping vs Smedby?
Nyköping vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
