Value bet: Haninge to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaninge to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Nacka Iliria vs Haninge preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Södra Svealand sees Nacka Iliria take on Haninge on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Nacka Iliria are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Haninge sit 6th on 44 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nacka Iliria's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Nyköping 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Haninge's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Eker Örebro 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.5 for Nacka Iliria and 1.9 for Haninge. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Haninge to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Nacka Iliria 1–1 Haninge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacka Iliria32%fair 3.10 · @2.50
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
Haninge49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
3.48Expected goals
1.54Nacka Iliria xG
1.94Haninge xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Nacka Iliria 1.5 – 1.9 Haninge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haninge to win✓
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Half-time result
Haninge ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haninge / FT Haninge✓
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Nacka Iliria – last 6
LLLLWW
29 May
vs Nyköping
0–2
L
24 May
@ Karlslund
1–2
L
10 May
vs Forward
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Sleipner
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Farsta
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Fittja
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Haninge – last 6
WLWLLL
31 May
vs Eker Örebro
3–1
W
22 May
@ Farsta
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Lindo FF
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Forward
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ Sleipner
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ United Nordic
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacka Iliria and Haninge.
What is the prediction for Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?
On our numbers Nacka Iliria have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Haninge 49%.
How many goals will there be in Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?
Our predicted score is Nacka Iliria 1–1 Haninge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Nacka Iliria vs Haninge?
Nacka Iliria vs Haninge (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
