Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Sleipner to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSleipner to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Sleipner vs Smedby preview and prediction
The match
Sleipner host Smedby in the Division 2 Södra Svealand on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Sleipner are 2nd with 51 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Smedby sit 7th on 36 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sleipner's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Syrianska FC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Smedby's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Fittja 3–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Sleipner and 1.3 for Smedby. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sleipner 59%, draw 20%, Smedby 21%.
Value angle: Sleipner to win at 1.90 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sleipner 2–1 Smedby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sleipner59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
Smedby21%fair 4.69 · @3.10
3.56Expected goals
2.25Sleipner xG
1.31Smedby xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sleipner 2.3 – 1.3 Smedby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sleipner to win✗
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.60
Half-time result
Sleipner ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sleipner / FT Sleipner✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
Sleipner – last 6
WWWDLW
7 May
vs Syrianska FC
2–1
W
2 May
@ Lindo FF
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Nacka Iliria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Forward
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Farsta
1–4
L
28 Mar
vs Haninge
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Smedby – last 4
LWWW
3 May
@ Fittja
3–5
L
25 Apr
vs Karlslund
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Forward
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Eker Örebro
6–2
W
3.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sleipner and Smedby.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sleipner vs Smedby?
On our numbers Sleipner have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Smedby 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sleipner vs Smedby?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sleipner vs Smedby?
Our predicted score is Sleipner 2–1 Smedby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Sleipner vs Smedby?
Sleipner vs Smedby (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
