Value bet: Haninge to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaninge to win61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score68% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.26
Haninge vs Fittja preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Södra Svealand sees Haninge take on Fittja on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Torvalla idrottsplats. Haninge are 6th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Fittja sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Haninge's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Lindo FF 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fittja's last 4: WLLD Most recently they beat Smedby 5–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Haninge and 1.5 for Fittja. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haninge 61%, draw 14%, Fittja 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Haninge to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Haninge 2–1 Fittja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haninge61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw14%fair 7.03 · @4.00
Fittja25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
3.85Expected goals
2.39Haninge xG
1.46Fittja xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Haninge 2.4 – 1.5 Fittja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haninge to win
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.85
Half-time result
Haninge ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haninge / FT Haninge
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.26
–
Form
Haninge – last 4
WLLL
26 Apr
@ Lindo FF
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Forward
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ Sleipner
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ United Nordic
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Fittja – last 4
WLLD
3 May
vs Smedby
5–3
W
24 Apr
@ Rågsved
2–4
L
3 Apr
@ Nacka Iliria
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Syrianska FC
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haninge and Fittja.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Haninge vs Fittja?
On our numbers Haninge have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Fittja 25%.
How many goals will there be in Haninge vs Fittja?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haninge vs Fittja?
Our predicted score is Haninge 2–1 Fittja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Haninge vs Fittja?
Haninge vs Fittja (Division 2 Södra Svealand) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Torvalla idrottsplats.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
