Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLilla Torg to win ✓60% · @1.74
Double chanceLilla Torg or draw ✓81% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn preview and prediction
The match
Karlshamn travel to face Lilla Torg in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Sunday 18 October (13:00 WAT). Lilla Torg are 10th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Karlshamn sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lilla Torg's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Sölvesborg 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Karlshamn's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Staffanstorp United 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lilla Torg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Lilla Torg and 1.1 for Karlshamn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Lilla Torg 2–1 Karlshamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lilla Torg60%fair 1.66 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.75
Karlshamn19%fair 5.32 · @3.56
3.28Expected goals
2.15Lilla Torg xG
1.13Karlshamn xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg 2.2 – 1.1 Karlshamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lilla Torg to win✓
60%
1.66
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Lilla Torg or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.43
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.63
Half-time result
Lilla Torg ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lilla Torg / FT Lilla Torg✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Lilla Torg – last 6
DLDDDW
10 Oct
@ Sölvesborg
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Nosaby
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Österlen
3–3
D
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karlshamn – last 6
LWLLLL
11 Oct
vs Staffanstorp United
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Växjö Norra
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Berga
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Torns
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Österlen
0–6
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Karlshamn.
What is the prediction for Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlshamn 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 2–1 Karlshamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn?
Lilla Torg vs Karlshamn (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.