Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLilla Torg to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Östra Götaland sees Lilla Torg take on Nosaby on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Lilla Torg are 10th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Nosaby sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lilla Torg's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Österlen 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Nosaby's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Staffanstorp United 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Lilla Torg and 1.5 for Nosaby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lilla Torg 1–1 Nosaby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lilla Torg41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Nosaby37%fair 2.67 · @2.50
3.18Expected goals
1.63Lilla Torg xG
1.55Nosaby xG
68%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lilla Torg 1.6 – 1.5 Nosaby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lilla Torg to win✗
41%
2.43
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lilla Torg / FT Lilla Torg✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
Lilla Torg – last 6
DDDWWL
27 Sep
@ Österlen
3–3
D
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nosaby – last 6
WDLWLW
26 Sep
vs Staffanstorp United
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Berga
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Oskarshamns AIK
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Karlshamn
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Torns
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lilla Torg and Nosaby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
On our numbers Lilla Torg have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nosaby 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
Our predicted score is Lilla Torg 1–1 Nosaby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lilla Torg vs Nosaby?
Lilla Torg vs Nosaby (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
