Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.69Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultÖsterlen to win ✗63% · @1.69
Double chanceÖsterlen or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Österlen vs Lilla Torg preview and prediction
The match
Österlen host Lilla Torg in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Österlen are 8th with 33 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Lilla Torg sit 10th on 32 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Österlen's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Staffanstorp United 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Lilla Torg's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Linero 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Österlen and 1.0 for Lilla Torg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Österlen to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.69, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Österlen 2–1 Lilla Torg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Österlen63%fair 1.59 · @1.69
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.78
Lilla Torg18%fair 5.46 · @3.75
3.16Expected goals
2.12Österlen xG
1.04Lilla Torg xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Österlen 2.1 – 1.0 Lilla Torg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Österlen to win✗
63%
1.59
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Österlen or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Half-time result
Österlen ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Österlen / FT Österlen✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Österlen – last 6
DLWLDL
18 Sep
@ Staffanstorp United
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs IFK Trelleborg
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Karlshamn
6–0
W
30 Aug
@ Växjö Norra
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Räppe
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Oskarshamns AIK
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lilla Torg – last 6
DDWWLL
18 Sep
vs Linero
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Berga
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Österlen and Lilla Torg.
What is the prediction for Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Our pick is Österlen to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.
Who will win Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
On our numbers Österlen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lilla Torg 18%.
How many goals will there be in Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Our predicted score is Österlen 2–1 Lilla Torg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Österlen vs Lilla Torg?
Österlen vs Lilla Torg (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
