Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerga to win ✗64% · @1.60
Double chanceBerga or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Berga vs Lilla Torg preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Östra Götaland sees Berga take on Lilla Torg on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Berga are 6th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Lilla Torg sit 10th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Berga's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Karlskrona 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Lilla Torg's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Räppe 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Berga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Berga and 1.0 for Lilla Torg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Berga 64%, draw 19%, Lilla Torg 17%.
Safer route: Berga or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Berga to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Berga 2–1 Lilla Torg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Berga64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
Lilla Torg17%fair 5.82 · @4.33
3.19Expected goals
2.16Berga xG
1.03Lilla Torg xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Berga 2.2 – 1.0 Lilla Torg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berga to win✗
64%
1.57
1.60
Double chance
Berga or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Half-time result
Berga ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Berga – last 6
LDWWWW
30 Aug
@ Karlskrona
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Torns
4–3
W
7 Aug
@ Räppe
3–0
W
2 Aug
vs IFK Trelleborg
3–1
W
26 Jun
vs Växjö Norra
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lilla Torg – last 6
WLLDLD
29 Aug
vs Räppe
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ IFK Trelleborg
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Karlskrona
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Oskarshamns AIK
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Kristianstad
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berga and Lilla Torg.
Our pick is Berga to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Berga vs Lilla Torg?
On our numbers Berga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lilla Torg 17%.
How many goals will there be in Berga vs Lilla Torg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berga vs Lilla Torg?
Our predicted score is Berga 2–1 Lilla Torg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Berga vs Lilla Torg?
Berga vs Lilla Torg (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
