Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNosaby to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceNosaby or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Nosaby vs Karlshamn preview and prediction
The match
Nosaby host Karlshamn in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Nosaby are 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Karlshamn sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nosaby's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Staffanstorp United 0–5 away. They average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Karlshamn's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Växjö Norra 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nosaby arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Nosaby and 1.0 for Karlshamn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nosaby 62%, draw 20%, Karlshamn 19%.
Safer route: Nosaby or draw (81%) at 1.16.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nosaby to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nosaby 2–1 Karlshamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nosaby62%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.60
Karlshamn19%fair 5.35 · @3.80
3.02Expected goals
2.02Nosaby xG
1.00Karlshamn xG
49%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nosaby 2.0 – 1.0 Karlshamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nosaby to win✗
62%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Nosaby or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.47
Half-time result
Nosaby ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nosaby / FT Nosaby✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Nosaby – last 5
LLWWD
22 May
@ Staffanstorp United
0–5
L
10 May
@ Linero
0–3
L
1 May
vs Oskarshamns AIK
4–0
W
24 Apr
@ Torns
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Räppe
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Karlshamn – last 6
LLWLLL
22 May
vs Växjö Norra
1–2
L
14 May
vs Oskarshamns AIK
1–5
L
10 May
@ Staffanstorp United
2–1
W
2 May
vs Linero
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Berga
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Österlen
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nosaby and Karlshamn.
Our pick is Nosaby to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nosaby vs Karlshamn?
On our numbers Nosaby have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karlshamn 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nosaby vs Karlshamn?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosaby vs Karlshamn?
Our predicted score is Nosaby 2–1 Karlshamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nosaby vs Karlshamn?
Nosaby vs Karlshamn (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
