Value bet: Berga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerga to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Berga vs Räppe preview and prediction
The match
Räppe travel to face Berga in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Thursday 14 May (12:00 WAT). Berga are 6th with 43 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Räppe sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Berga's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Växjö Norra 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Räppe's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Karlskrona 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Berga and 0.9 for Räppe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Berga 64%, draw 15%, Räppe 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Berga to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Berga 2–0 Räppe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Berga64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.84 · @3.55
Räppe21%fair 4.70 · @3.20
2.85Expected goals
1.92Berga xG
0.93Räppe xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Berga 1.9 – 0.9 Räppe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berga to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Berga ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berga / FT Berga✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Berga – last 5
DDWLD
1 May
@ Växjö Norra
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Oskarshamns AIK
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Karlshamn
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Karlskrona
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Staffanstorp United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Räppe – last 4
LLDW
8 May
vs Karlskrona
1–2
L
2 May
@ Staffanstorp United
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Nosaby
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Karlshamn
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berga and Räppe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Berga vs Räppe?
On our numbers Berga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Räppe 21%.
How many goals will there be in Berga vs Räppe?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berga vs Räppe?
Our predicted score is Berga 2–0 Räppe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Berga vs Räppe?
Berga vs Räppe (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
