Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Staffanstorp United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStaffanstorp United to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn preview and prediction
The match
Staffanstorp United host Karlshamn in the Division 2 Östra Götaland on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Staffanstorp United are 9th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Karlshamn sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Staffanstorp United's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Räppe 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Karlshamn's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Linero 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Staffanstorp United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Staffanstorp United and 1.1 for Karlshamn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Staffanstorp United 61%, draw 16%, Karlshamn 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Staffanstorp United to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Staffanstorp United 1–1 Karlshamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Staffanstorp United61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @3.50
Karlshamn23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
3.06Expected goals
1.99Staffanstorp United xG
1.07Karlshamn xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Staffanstorp United 2.0 – 1.1 Karlshamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Staffanstorp United to win✗
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Half-time result
Staffanstorp United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Staffanstorp United / FT Staffanstorp United✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Staffanstorp United – last 3
WLD
2 May
vs Räppe
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Torns
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs Berga
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karlshamn – last 4
LLLL
2 May
vs Linero
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Berga
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Österlen
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Räppe
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Staffanstorp United and Karlshamn.
What is the prediction for Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn?
On our numbers Staffanstorp United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Karlshamn 23%.
How many goals will there be in Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn?
Our predicted score is Staffanstorp United 1–1 Karlshamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn?
Staffanstorp United vs Karlshamn (Division 2 Östra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
