Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVänersborgs FK to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norra Götaland sees Vänersborgs FK take on Kumla on Thursday 8 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Vänersborgs FK are 9th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Kumla sit 10th on 29 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vänersborgs FK's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Lidköping 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kumla's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Skara 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vänersborgs FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Vänersborgs FK and 1.4 for Kumla. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vänersborgs FK 41%, draw 21%, Kumla 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Kumla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vänersborgs FK41%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Kumla38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
2.92Expected goals
1.48Vänersborgs FK xG
1.43Kumla xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.5 – 1.4 Kumla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vänersborgs FK to win✗
41%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vänersborgs FK / FT Vänersborgs FK✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Vänersborgs FK – last 6
LLLWWW
3 Oct
@ Lidköping
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Husqvarna
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Tord
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenungsund
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Ahlafors
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ IF Karlstad II
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kumla – last 6
LWLDDL
3 Oct
@ Skara
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Lidköping
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Herrestads
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Motala
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs IFK Skövde
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Ahlafors
1–7
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Kumla.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kumla 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–1 Kumla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla?
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
