Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAhlafors to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Ahlafors vs Motala preview and prediction
The match
Ahlafors host Motala in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Ahlafors are 4th with 46 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Motala sit 11th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ahlafors's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Vänersborgs IF 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Motala's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Herrestads 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ahlafors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Motala 3–2 Ahlafors.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Ahlafors and 1.0 for Motala. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ahlafors 65%, draw 16%, Motala 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ahlafors to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ahlafors 2–1 Motala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ahlafors65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @3.90
Motala19%fair 5.31 · @3.60
3.13Expected goals
2.13Ahlafors xG
1.01Motala xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ahlafors 2.1 – 1.0 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Ahlafors to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Ahlafors vs Motala?
On our numbers Ahlafors have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Motala 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ahlafors vs Motala?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ahlafors vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Ahlafors 2–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ahlafors vs Motala?
Ahlafors vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
