Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Stenungsund to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.74 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.74Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStenungsund to win ✗66% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norra Götaland sees Stenungsund take on Vänersborgs FK on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Stenungsund are 6th with 39 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Vänersborgs FK sit 9th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Stenungsund's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Motala 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vänersborgs FK's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Ahlafors 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished Vänersborgs FK 2–4 Stenungsund.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Stenungsund and 1.1 for Vänersborgs FK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stenungsund 66%, draw 13%, Vänersborgs FK 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stenungsund to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.74, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stenungsund 2–1 Vänersborgs FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenungsund66%fair 1.51 · @1.74
Draw13%fair 7.53 · @3.82
Vänersborgs FK21%fair 4.86 · @3.62
3.23Expected goals
2.17Stenungsund xG
1.05Vänersborgs FK xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stenungsund 2.2 – 1.1 Vänersborgs FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Our pick is Stenungsund to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.74.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
On our numbers Stenungsund have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Vänersborgs FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Our predicted score is Stenungsund 2–1 Vänersborgs FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK?
Stenungsund vs Vänersborgs FK (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
