Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAhlafors to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors preview and prediction
The match
Ahlafors travel to face Vänersborgs FK in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Friday 4 September (18:15 WAT). Vänersborgs FK are 9th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Ahlafors sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vänersborgs FK's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat IF Karlstad II 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ahlafors's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Kumla 7–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Ahlafors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Ahlafors 1–1 Vänersborgs FK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.1 for Vänersborgs FK and 2.3 for Ahlafors. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vänersborgs FK 18%, draw 17%, Ahlafors 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ahlafors to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vänersborgs FK 1–2 Ahlafors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vänersborgs FK18%fair 5.54 · @4.20
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @4.20
Ahlafors65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
3.39Expected goals
1.10Vänersborgs FK xG
2.29Ahlafors xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 1.1 – 2.3 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?
Our pick is Ahlafors to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ahlafors 65%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 1–2 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors?
Vänersborgs FK vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
