Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Ahlafors to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAhlafors to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Kumla vs Ahlafors preview and prediction
The match
Kumla host Ahlafors in the Division 2 Norra Götaland on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Kumla are 10th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Ahlafors sit 4th on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kumla's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Herrestads 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ahlafors's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Tord 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Ahlafors arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.3 for Kumla and 1.9 for Ahlafors. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kumla 29%, draw 19%, Ahlafors 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Ahlafors to win at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Kumla 1–1 Ahlafors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kumla29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.70
Ahlafors52%fair 1.92 · @2.15
3.18Expected goals
1.31Kumla xG
1.87Ahlafors xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kumla 1.3 – 1.9 Ahlafors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ahlafors to win✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Half-time result
Ahlafors ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ahlafors / FT Ahlafors✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Kumla – last 6
LLLLWW
30 May
vs Herrestads
1–2
L
22 May
@ IFK Skövde
1–2
L
14 May
vs Skara
0–2
L
1 May
@ Husqvarna
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Lidköping
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Grebbestad
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ahlafors – last 6
WWWWLL
30 May
@ Tord
2–1
W
23 May
@ IF Karlstad II
4–1
W
13 May
vs Herrestads
5–0
W
9 May
@ Grebbestad
2–0
W
1 May
vs IFK Skövde
2–3
L
26 Apr
@ Motala
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kumla and Ahlafors.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Kumla vs Ahlafors?
On our numbers Kumla have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ahlafors 52%.
How many goals will there be in Kumla vs Ahlafors?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kumla vs Ahlafors?
Our predicted score is Kumla 1–1 Ahlafors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kumla vs Ahlafors?
Kumla vs Ahlafors (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
