Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotala to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Stenungsund vs Motala preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norra Götaland sees Stenungsund take on Motala on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Stenungsund are 6th with 39 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Motala sit 11th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stenungsund's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Herrestads 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Motala's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to IFK Skövde 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Stenungsund and 1.5 for Motala. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Stenungsund 1–1 Motala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stenungsund37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Motala40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
3.00Expected goals
1.47Stenungsund xG
1.54Motala xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stenungsund 1.5 – 1.5 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motala to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motala / FT Motala✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
Stenungsund – last 5
LWWLD
8 May
@ Herrestads
1–4
L
3 May
vs IF Karlstad II
2–0
W
10 Apr
vs Grebbestad
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Skara
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Tord
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Motala – last 6
LWWLDL
9 May
vs IFK Skövde
0–4
L
1 May
@ Lidköping
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ahlafors
3–2
W
19 Apr
@ Husqvarna
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Tord
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Vänersborgs FK
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenungsund and Motala.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Stenungsund vs Motala?
On our numbers Stenungsund have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motala 40%.
How many goals will there be in Stenungsund vs Motala?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenungsund vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Stenungsund 1–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stenungsund vs Motala?
Stenungsund vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
