Value bet: Motala to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotala to win ✗61% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Vänersborgs FK vs Motala preview and prediction
The match
The Division 2 Norra Götaland sees Vänersborgs FK take on Motala on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Vänersborgs FK are 9th with 32 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Motala sit 11th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Vänersborgs FK and 1.7 for Motala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vänersborgs FK 21%, draw 18%, Motala 61%.
Value angle: Motala to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Vänersborgs FK 0–1 Motala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vänersborgs FK21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.50
Motala61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
2.50Expected goals
0.81Vänersborgs FK xG
1.69Motala xG
47%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Vänersborgs FK 0.8 – 1.7 Motala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motala to win✗
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.19
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motala / FT Motala✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.20
–
Form
Vänersborgs FK
No recent results on record.
Motala – last 1
W
28 Mar
vs Skara
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vänersborgs FK and Motala.
What is the prediction for Vänersborgs FK vs Motala?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vänersborgs FK vs Motala?
On our numbers Vänersborgs FK have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Motala 61%.
How many goals will there be in Vänersborgs FK vs Motala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vänersborgs FK vs Motala?
Our predicted score is Vänersborgs FK 0–1 Motala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vänersborgs FK vs Motala?
Vänersborgs FK vs Motala (Division 2 Norra Götaland) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
