Value bet: Paju Citizen to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCheongju to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Cheongju vs Paju Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Paju Citizen travel to Cheongju Stadion in the K League 2 on Sunday 1 November (08:30 WAT) to face Cheongju. Cheongju are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Paju Citizen sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cheongju's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Yongin City 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Paju Citizen's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Hwaseong 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cheongju arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Paju Citizen 0–0 Cheongju.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cheongju and 1.2 for Paju Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Paju Citizen to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Cheongju 1–1 Paju Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cheongju43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Paju Citizen35%fair 2.88 · @3.25
2.51Expected goals
1.35Cheongju xG
1.16Paju Citizen xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cheongju 1.3 – 1.2 Paju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cheongju vs Paju Citizen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cheongju vs Paju Citizen?
On our numbers Cheongju have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paju Citizen 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cheongju vs Paju Citizen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheongju vs Paju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Cheongju 1–1 Paju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cheongju vs Paju Citizen?
Cheongju vs Paju Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Cheongju Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
