Value bet: Busan I Park to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuwon Bluewings to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings preview and prediction
The match
Busan I Park host Suwon Bluewings in the K League 2 on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Busan I Park are 5th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Suwon Bluewings sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busan I Park's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Seongnam FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Suwon Bluewings's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Paju Citizen 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Busan I Park and 1.4 for Suwon Bluewings. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan I Park 36%, draw 24%, Suwon Bluewings 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Busan I Park to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Busan I Park 1–1 Suwon Bluewings. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan I Park36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Suwon Bluewings41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
2.71Expected goals
1.30Busan I Park xG
1.41Suwon Bluewings xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.3 – 1.4 Suwon Bluewings expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suwon Bluewings to win✓
41%
2.46
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suwon Bluewings / FT Suwon Bluewings✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Busan I Park – last 6
LWWDDW
18 Jul
@ Seongnam FC
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Geoje Citizen
4–0
W
12 Jul
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ Jeonnam Dragons
3–3
D
5 Jun
vs Asan Mugunghwa
2–2
D
30 May
vs Paju Citizen
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suwon Bluewings – last 6
DDLWWL
19 Jul
vs Paju Citizen
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Busan Transportation
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Ansan Greeners
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Seongnam FC
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Hwaseong
2–1
W
30 May
@ Asan Mugunghwa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Suwon Bluewings.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Suwon Bluewings 41%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–1 Suwon Bluewings, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?
Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
