Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park preview and prediction
The match
The K League 2 sees Jeonnam Dragons take on Busan I Park on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Gwangyang Football Stadium. Jeonnam Dragons are 16th with 25 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Busan I Park sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jeonnam Dragons's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Gimpo Citizen 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Busan I Park's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Asan Mugunghwa 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.7 for Busan I Park. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jeonnam Dragons 29%, draw 21%, Busan I Park 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Jeonnam Dragons 1–1 Busan I Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jeonnam Dragons29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Busan I Park50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
2.90Expected goals
1.21Jeonnam Dragons xG
1.69Busan I Park xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Jeonnam Dragons 1.2 – 1.7 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Jeonnam Dragons – last 6
DLLDDL
7 Jun
@ Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
31 May
vs Seoul E-Land FC
0–1
L
23 May
vs Gimhae City
0–1
L
16 May
vs Cheongju
2–2
D
10 May
@ Seongnam FC
0–0
D
25 Apr
@ Ansan Greeners
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 6
DWLWWW
5 Jun
vs Asan Mugunghwa
2–2
D
30 May
vs Paju Citizen
4–1
W
17 May
@ Hwaseong
2–3
L
10 May
vs Cheonan City
1–0
W
3 May
@ Gimhae City
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Suwon City FC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jeonnam Dragons and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Jeonnam Dragons have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Busan I Park 50%.
How many goals will there be in Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Jeonnam Dragons 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?
Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangyang Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
