Paju Citizen vs Yongin City preview and prediction
The match
Yongin City travel to Paju Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 4 July (11:30 WAT) to face Paju Citizen. Paju Citizen are 10th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Yongin City sit 12th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Paju Citizen's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Busan I Park 1–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Yongin City's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Gyeongnam FC 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Yongin City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Paju Citizen and 1.5 for Yongin City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paju Citizen 30%, draw 22%, Yongin City 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Paju Citizen 1–1 Yongin City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paju Citizen30%fair 3.28 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Yongin City47%fair 2.11 · @2.20
2.59Expected goals
1.11Paju Citizen xG
1.48Yongin City xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.1 – 1.5 Yongin City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yongin City to win✓
47%
2.11
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yongin City / FT Yongin City✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.04
–
Form
Paju Citizen – last 6
LLDLWL
30 May
@ Busan I Park
1–4
L
25 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
0–1
L
3 May
vs Cheongju
0–0
D
25 Apr
vs Gyeongnam FC
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seongnam FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yongin City – last 6
DDDDWL
6 Jun
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–2
D
30 May
vs Daegu FC
1–1
D
24 May
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–0
D
16 May
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–2
D
10 May
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
3 May
vs Seongnam FC
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Yongin City.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Yongin City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Yongin City?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Yongin City 47%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Yongin City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Yongin City?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Yongin City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Yongin City?
Paju Citizen vs Yongin City (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
