Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHwaseong to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Cheongju vs Hwaseong preview and prediction
The match
Hwaseong travel to Cheongju Stadion in the K League 2 on Saturday 23 May (11:00 WAT) to face Cheongju. Cheongju are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Hwaseong sit 6th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cheongju's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Jeonnam Dragons 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Hwaseong's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Busan I Park 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hwaseong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Cheongju and 1.3 for Hwaseong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 2.75 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cheongju 1–1 Hwaseong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cheongju34%fair 2.97 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Hwaseong43%fair 2.33 · @2.75
2.40Expected goals
1.11Cheongju xG
1.30Hwaseong xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Cheongju 1.1 – 1.3 Hwaseong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✓
43%
2.33
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Cheongju – last 6
DDDDDD
16 May
@ Jeonnam Dragons
2–2
D
9 May
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–1
D
3 May
@ Paju Citizen
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Asan Mugunghwa
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Gimhae City
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hwaseong – last 6
WDWWDW
17 May
vs Busan I Park
3–2
W
9 May
vs Suwon City FC
1–1
D
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheongju and Hwaseong.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
On our numbers Cheongju have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hwaseong 43%.
How many goals will there be in Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
Our predicted score is Cheongju 1–1 Hwaseong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cheongju vs Hwaseong?
Cheongju vs Hwaseong (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Cheongju Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
