Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSuwon City FC to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC preview and prediction
The match
Suwon City FC travel to Hwaseong Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 9 May (06:00 WAT) to face Hwaseong. Hwaseong are 6th with 48 points from 31 games (in the top half), while Suwon City FC sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Ansan Greeners 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Suwon City FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Suwon Bluewings 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Hwaseong and 1.3 for Suwon City FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hwaseong 38%, draw 24%, Suwon City FC 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Hwaseong 1–1 Suwon City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Suwon City FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
2.67Expected goals
1.32Hwaseong xG
1.34Suwon City FC xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.3 – 1.3 Suwon City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Suwon City FC to win✗
38%
2.60
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suwon City FC / FT Suwon City FC✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Form
Hwaseong – last 6
WWDWLL
3 May
vs Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Seongnam FC
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Suwon City FC – last 6
WDLDLW
3 May
vs Suwon Bluewings
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Busan I Park
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Daegu FC
2–2
D
4 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Paju Citizen
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Suwon City FC.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Suwon City FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Suwon City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC?
Hwaseong vs Suwon City FC (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
