Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Seongnam FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSeongnam FC to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceSeongnam FC or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen preview and prediction
The match
Paju Citizen travel to Tancheon Stadium in the K League 2 on Sunday 19 April (06:00 WAT) to face Seongnam FC. Seongnam FC are 14th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Paju Citizen sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Seongnam FC's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Ansan Greeners 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Paju Citizen's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Seoul E-Land FC 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Seongnam FC and 0.9 for Paju Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Seongnam FC 58%, draw 21%, Paju Citizen 21%.
Safer route: Seongnam FC or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Seongnam FC to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Seongnam FC or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Seongnam FC 1–0 Paju Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Seongnam FC58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.20
Paju Citizen21%fair 4.83 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.69Seongnam FC xG
0.88Paju Citizen xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Seongnam FC 1.7 – 0.9 Paju Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Seongnam FC to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Seongnam FC or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Seongnam FC / FT Seongnam FC✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Seongnam FC – last 6
LWDWDD
12 Apr
vs Ansan Greeners
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Hwaseong
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Gimpo Citizen
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Asan Mugunghwa
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Cheongju
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ Busan I Park
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paju Citizen – last 6
LWLWWL
11 Apr
vs Seoul E-Land FC
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Gimhae City
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Seongnam FC and Paju Citizen.
What is the prediction for Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Our pick is Seongnam FC or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
On our numbers Seongnam FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paju Citizen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Our predicted score is Seongnam FC 1–0 Paju Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen?
Seongnam FC vs Paju Citizen (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Tancheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
