Value bet: Busan I Park to win @ 2.60 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan I Park to win ✓44% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.20
Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC preview and prediction
The match
Suwon City FC travel to Busan Gudeok Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 18 April (06:00 WAT) to face Busan I Park. Busan I Park are 5th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Suwon City FC sit 2nd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Busan I Park's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Yongin City 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Suwon City FC's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Daegu FC 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Busan I Park and 1.4 for Suwon City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Busan I Park 44%, draw 22%, Suwon City FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Busan I Park to win at 2.60 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Busan I Park 1–1 Suwon City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Busan I Park44%fair 2.29 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Suwon City FC34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
3.11Expected goals
1.66Busan I Park xG
1.45Suwon City FC xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Busan I Park 1.7 – 1.4 Suwon City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
44%
2.29
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.20
–
Form
Busan I Park – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Apr
vs Yongin City
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Gyeongnam FC
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Daegu FC
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Suwon City FC – last 6
DLWWWW
11 Apr
vs Daegu FC
2–2
D
4 Apr
@ Seoul E-Land FC
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Paju Citizen
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Gimhae City
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yongin City
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Cheongju
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Busan I Park and Suwon City FC.
What is the prediction for Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC?
On our numbers Busan I Park have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Suwon City FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC?
Our predicted score is Busan I Park 1–1 Suwon City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC?
Busan I Park vs Suwon City FC (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
