Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 2.65 – our chance 40% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHwaseong to win ✓40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 9.66
Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons preview and prediction
The match
Jeonnam Dragons travel to Hwaseong Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 11 April (08:30 WAT) to face Hwaseong. Hwaseong are 6th with 48 points from 31 games (in the top half), while Jeonnam Dragons sit 16th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hwaseong's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Seongnam FC 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jeonnam Dragons's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Cheonan City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Hwaseong and 1.2 for Jeonnam Dragons. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 2.65 – 40% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hwaseong 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hwaseong40%fair 2.50 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Jeonnam Dragons36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
2.54Expected goals
1.32Hwaseong xG
1.23Jeonnam Dragons xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hwaseong 1.3 – 1.2 Jeonnam Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hwaseong to win✓
40%
2.50
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hwaseong / FT Hwaseong✓
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
9.66
–
Form
Hwaseong – last 6
LLDDWL
4 Apr
vs Seongnam FC
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Yongin City
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Cheonan City
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Gimhae City
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Daegu FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Jeonnam Dragons – last 5
LLLLW
28 Mar
@ Cheonan City
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Paju Citizen
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–2
L
7 Mar
@ Daegu FC
2–4
L
1 Mar
@ Gyeongnam FC
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hwaseong and Jeonnam Dragons.
What is the prediction for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?
On our numbers Hwaseong have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeonnam Dragons 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our predicted score is Hwaseong 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Hwaseong Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
