Value bet: Gimhae City to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimhae City to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City preview and prediction
The match
Paju Citizen host Gimhae City in the K League 2 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Paju Stadium. Paju Citizen are 10th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Gimhae City sit 17th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paju Citizen's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Suwon City FC 1–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Gimhae City's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Suwon Bluewings 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Paju Citizen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Paju Citizen and 1.4 for Gimhae City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paju Citizen 37%, draw 24%, Gimhae City 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Gimhae City to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Paju Citizen 1–1 Gimhae City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paju Citizen37%fair 2.70 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Gimhae City39%fair 2.60 · @2.85
2.71Expected goals
1.34Paju Citizen xG
1.37Gimhae City xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.3 – 1.4 Gimhae City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimhae City to win✗
39%
2.60
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimhae City / FT Gimhae City✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.95
–
Form
Paju Citizen – last 5
LWWLL
29 Mar
@ Suwon City FC
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Gimhae City – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Suwon City FC
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Hwaseong
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Ansan Greeners
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Gimhae City.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimhae City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Gimhae City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
