Value bet: Gyeongnam FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan I Park to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park preview and prediction
The match
Gyeongnam FC host Busan I Park in the K League 2 on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Changwon Football Centre Stadium. Gyeongnam FC are 9th with 38 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Busan I Park sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gyeongnam FC's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Ansan Greeners 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Busan I Park's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Cheongju 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
Busan I Park arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Gyeongnam FC and 1.6 for Busan I Park. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gyeongnam FC 29%, draw 22%, Busan I Park 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Gyeongnam FC to win at 3.75 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Busan I Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gyeongnam FC29%fair 3.43 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Busan I Park48%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.78Expected goals
1.18Gyeongnam FC xG
1.61Busan I Park xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gyeongnam FC 1.2 – 1.6 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
48%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Gyeongnam FC – last 5
DWDLL
28 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Gimpo Citizen
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Cheongju
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Jeonnam Dragons
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 5
WWWWD
29 Mar
@ Cheongju
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Daegu FC
3–1
W
14 Mar
@ Seoul E-Land FC
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
2 Mar
vs Seongnam FC
1–1
D
2.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gyeongnam FC and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Gyeongnam FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Busan I Park 48%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Gyeongnam FC 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park?
Gyeongnam FC vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Changwon Football Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
